Inequality and Poverty Relationship Research Paper

Introduction.

The link between inequality and poverty has long been neglected. However, there are many arguments proving that handling the problem of inequality can help in overcoming the issue of poverty. What should be kept in mind is the fact that not only inequality in access to wealth distribution matters when speaking of the effect it has on poverty but also on power and education services. This paper aims at drawing the connection between inequality and poverty and finding possible solutions to both challenges.

To begin with, it is necessary to define the concepts of poverty and inequality. Poverty is the lack of financial resources that results in an individual’s inability to live a decent life. It is very often determined by a relation to a particular numerical figure, i.e. establishing the acceptable level of income, to make it easier to define what is meant under decent living and analyze the poverty rate in a country or region (Jonsson, Mood & Bihagen 2013). As of inequality, it is the difference in access to income, power, education, and whatever (Conerly 2014).

There are two possible ways of linking inequality to poverty – direct and indirect. The direct connection between inequality and poverty centers on the difference in access to wealth distribution. The simplest way to trace it is to view employment conditions and the level of salaries. This issue was brought up and became acute because of the tendency towards globalization of international economic relations, liberalization of trade, and technological revolution that requires higher skills and more knowledge for finding well-paid jobs (Yasmeen, Begum & Mujtaba 2011). The consequences of these developments are evident: if an individual does not correspond with the modern requirements, he or she is excluded from the wealth distribution system. Another aggravating factor is the openness of the global economic system and the operation of multinational corporations. It became easier to run a company in a country with sufficient resources but involve foreign workers who have the necessary skills instead of local. It as well leads to the exclusion mentioned above and the increase in poverty rates.

The indirect effect of inequality on poverty can be investigated in two dimensions – access to power and educational services. In the first case, accessibility of authority or power is seen as the source of making decisions advantaging one group of the population, and disadvantaging another. It means that some social groups cannot influence the local authorities that are free to develop the policies benefiting them. Think, for example, of the caste stratification in India or establishing employment equity targets in South Africa (Mosse 2010; Department of Labour of Republic of South Africa 2015). These systems are created to justify discrimination that, as a result, leads to the impossibility to promote changes in society and combat inequality and poverty.

Another channel of interaction is inequality in access to educational services. It gains momentum in the long run because those who have lower educational backgrounds have fewer chances of occupying well-paid positions and, as the result, it adds to the problem of poverty (Tarabini & Jacovkis 2012). What is significant here is the fact that children from poor families do not have an opportunity to obtain an education because, for example, the state does not guarantee free schooling for its citizens. So, they are forced to work since childhood and, in most cases, are destined to living in need because of their illiteracy. It results in the establishment of some vicious cycle of poverty in society.

Nevertheless, there are some possible solutions to the problems of inequality and poverty. First of all, it is necessary to promote structural changes in the economy. That said if a country, for example, has fertile soil and a prolific climate, it is recommended to boost the development of agriculture. It would create workplaces, attract foreign investments, increase the level of production, enhance economic growth, and, as a result, decrease the level of poverty. If a country is rich in natural recourses, it is vital to develop industries (Alhaji, Rusmavati & Shaufique 2013). What is significant in this case is finding the strengths of a country’s economy and maximizing its benefits.

The second potential solution to both problems is to correct political imbalances. This step will help in setting up an environment of equality and uniformity where every member of society would have equal access to power and influence on ruling authorities (Grant & Dutta-Gupta 2015). Moreover, it is crucial to overcome the issue of racial segregation within managing political imperfections (Powell 2014). Finally, it is necessary to increase investment in the educational system and access to educational services (Boteach & Vallas 2015). It was shown that there is a robust connection between the level of education and poverty. That is why it is vital to guarantee that every child has an opportunity to attend school and obtain a minimally acceptable theoretical and practical background.

In conclusion, it can be said that the link existing between poverty and inequality is significant. However, these challenges can be overcome by implementing reforms aimed at boosting the economic and social development of a country’s citizens.

Alhaji, B M, Rusmavati, S & Shaufique, F S 2015, ‘Urban poverty, inequality and industry in Nigeria,’ International Journal of Development Issues , vol. 14, no. 3, pp. 249-263.

Boteach, M & Vallas, R 2015, Top 10 policy solutions for tackling income inequality and reducing poverty in America , Web.

Conerly, B 2014, ‘Economic impacts of inequality,’ Forbes, Web.

Department of Labour of Republic of South Africa 2015, Commission for Employment Equity annual report 2014-2015 , Web.

Grant, K & Dutta-Gupta, I 2015, Ten ways to fight income inequality , Web.

Jonsson, J O, Mood, C & Bihagen, E 2013, ‘ Income inequality and poverty during economic recession and growth: Sweden 1997-2007, ’ AIAS, Amsterdam, Netherlands.

Mosse, D 2010, ‘A relational approach to durable poverty, inequality and power,’ Journal of Development Studies, vol. 46, no. 7, pp. 1156-1178.

Powell, J A 2014, Six policies to reduce economic inequality , Web.

Tarabini, A & Jacovkis, J 2012, ‘The poverty reduction strategy papers: an analysis of hegemonic link between education and poverty,’ International Journal of Educational Development, vol. 32, no. 4, pp. 507-516.

Yasmeen, G, Begum, R, & Mujtaba, B G 2011, ‘Human development challenges and opportunities in Pakistan: defying income inequality and poverty,’ Journal of business Studies Quarterly, vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 1-12.

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Bibliography

IvyPanda . "Inequality and Poverty Relationship." September 29, 2020. https://ivypanda.com/essays/inequality-and-poverty-relationship/.

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The Oxford Handbook of Economic Inequality

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24 Poverty and Inequality: The Global Context

Francisco H. G. Ferreira is a Lead Economist with the World Bank's Research Department, and a co-editor of the Journal of Economic Inequality. He holds a Ph.D. from the London School of Economics, and has taught at PUC-Rio de Janeiro.

Martin Ravallion is the director of the Development Research Group at the World Bank.

  • Published: 18 September 2012
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This article summarizes the recent evidence on global poverty and inequality, including both developed and developing countries. Section 1 discusses poverty and inequality data and presents evidence on levels and recent trends in poverty and inequality around the world. Section 2 turns to the issues involved in aggregating inequality indices across countries, in order to construct a meaningful measure of global inequality. Section 3 discusses the empirical relationship between economic growth, poverty, and inequality dynamics. Section 4 turns to the likely economic determinants of poverty and inequality changes. Section 5 offers some conclusions, and points to some promising research themes within this general topic.

The previous chapters in this Handbook have focused primarily on inequality in developed countries. The approximately five billion people who live in low and middle-income countries figured only fleetingly in the plot, as a huge (and possibly a little frightening) cast of extras, who produce cheap internationally tradable goods (Chapter 23 ) and are potential migrants to richer countries (Chapter 19 ). Yet, developing countries account for over 80% of the world's population, and experience levels of absolute poverty—and often of inequality too—much greater than those found in developed countries.

This chapter summarizes the recent evidence on global poverty and inequality, including both developed and developing countries. It draws on two main compilations of distributional data created at the World Bank, both of which are built up from country-specific nationally representative household surveys, generally fielded by national statistical offices. First is the PovcalNet data set, which comprises some 560 surveys for 100 low and middle-income countries, representing some 93% of the developing world's population. 2 Where necessary, the PovcalNet data set is complemented with information from the World Development Report 2006 household survey database, which has a somewhat broader geographical coverage (including many developed countries), but a more limited time-span.

In the first part of the chapter we discuss our poverty and inequality data and present evidence on levels and recent trends in poverty and inequality around the world. Global and regional poverty aggregates are also discussed here. Section 2 turns to the issues involved in aggregating inequality indices across countries, in order to construct a meaningful measure of global inequality. It reviews the main results from the literature that has sought to measure global income inequality, and briefly summarizes some of the evidence on global inequalities in health and education. Section 3 discusses the empirical relationship between economic growth, poverty, and inequality dynamics. Here we present what we see as the three key stylized facts to emerge from these data: the absence of a correlation between growth rates and changes in inequality among developing countries; the strong (positive) correlation between growth rates and rates of poverty reduction, and the importance of inequality to that relationship. In Section 4, in a more speculative mode, we turn to the likely economic determinants of poverty and inequality changes. Section 5 offers some conclusions, and points to some promising research themes within this general topic.

1. Poverty and Inequality around the World: A Bird's Eye View

There has been a remarkable expansion in the availability of household surveys in developing countries over the last 25 years. These surveys, which are typically designed and fielded by national statistical agencies, have the measurement of living standards in the population as one of their key objectives. Although clearly there are measurement errors in such data, it is also widely accepted that these data generally represent the best available source of information on the distribution of living standards for any country where they have been conducted.

Our poverty and inequality measures are constructed for the distributions of household income or consumption per capita, as captured by these surveys. This choice of indicator prompts three caveats. First, by focusing on income or consumption, we end up effectively taking a one-dimensional approach to measuring welfare. It would clearly be desirable to include other important dimensions of welfare not already included in consumption or income (at least directly), such as health status, cognitive functioning, civil and personal freedoms, and environmental quality. 3 Even short of a fully multidimensional approach to welfare, it might well be desirable to include in the aggregate indicator of well-being some measure of the value of access to public and publicly provided goods (such as education and health services, personal security, and access to local infrastructure). But extending welfare measurement in either of these two directions in a manner that allows international comparisons is impossible on the basis of the information available to date. As in most of the preceding chapters in this Handbook, we restrict our attention to the narrow realm of people's ability to consume private goods, as measured by their income or consumption expenditures.

Second, income is not the same thing as consumption. Although over the long run consumption should come quite close to permanent income (except for the limited number of lineages where bequests are important), there can be considerable deviations in the short run, as households either save or dissave. Consumption is thus generally considered a better measure of current welfare than income. 4 In addition, and perhaps of greater practical importance, the questionnaires for income and consumption are perforce quite different, and yield different types of measurement error; see Deaton 1997 . As a result of both higher measurement error and of the variance of the transitory component, 5 income inequality tends to be higher than inequality in consumption expenditures in a given population. In the description that follows, we use consumption distributions to construct our poverty and inequality measures wherever possible. Only when consumption data are unavailable in the survey do we report income-based indicators. The type of indicator is noted for each country in Table 24.1 .

Third, by looking at the distribution of income or consumption per capita, we are effectively making two strong assumptions, neither of which is likely to hold perfectly. First, we ignore intrahousehold inequality. Following common practice, such inequality is simply assumed away from our computations. Secondly, even if one is forced to use a single indicator for each household, it is not clear that the per capita definition is the most appropriate. There are differences in needs across age groups (and possibly genders), and there may well be certain fixed costs or ‘household public goods’ that generate economies of scale in consumption at the household level. 6 Both of these considerations have led many analysts to use some measure of ‘equivalent income’ as their welfare indicator for each household. However, these variables turn out to be quite sensitive to the different assumptions made in identifying specific equivalence scales from observed demand behavior, and there is no agreement on which particular scale should be used. 7 There is likely to be more agreement, in fact, with the statement that different scales may be appropriate for different settings (such as, say, South Korea and Togo). All this implies that seeking to introduce sensitivity to household size and composition in the context of international comparisons is, given the present state of knowledge, likely to contribute to less, not more, clarity.

Notes : N The World Bank classifies countries regionally and among income groups according to 2006 nominal GNI per capita, calculated using the World Bank Atlas method. High-income countries have GNI per capita of $11,116 or more. ECA = Eastern Europe and Central Asia; MNA = Middle-East and North Africa; EAP = East Asia and the Pacific; SAR = South Asia; SSA = Sub-Saharan Africa; LAC = Latin America and Caribbean; HI = High Income. y = income; c = consumption;

1 = PovcalNet; 2 = WDR 06; 3 = WDI;

Source : the World Bank Indicators, reference year 2006.

Having agreed on the choice of welfare indicator, the next challenge is the aggregation of the national distributions into scalar poverty or inequality indices. This is a much easier problem in the case of relative inequality measures that are, by construction, scale-invariant. 8 Since these measures do not depend on mean incomes or on the currency in which income is expressed, a number of vexing issues to do with Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) exchange rates and with the relevance of national account means to welfare measurement (to which we return below when discussing poverty measures) can be safely ignored. The inequality indices reported in Table 24.1 are therefore simple Gini indices and mean log deviations (MLD), computed over the original distribution of household consumption (or income) per person in each country's nominal currency, in each year. Unlike the Gini index, MLD is additively decomposable into between-group and within-group inequality components (Bourguignon, 1979 ).

Absolute poverty measures, on the other hand, summarize the extent of deprivation in a distribution with respect to a specific welfare threshold, given by the poverty line. This implies that scale matters, and so does the choice of mean (e.g. mean income from a household survey, or GDP per capita) and exchange rate when making inter-country comparisons or aggregations. It has been argued that misreporting of incomes in household surveys would justify scaling up the income distribution so that its mean equaled per capita consumption in the Private Consumption account in the National Accounts System (NAS). 9 But such an approach ignores the fact that the Private Consumption account includes components of institutional consumption as well as personal consumption, which could introduce a systematic overstatement of household welfare levels. Things are even worse if the scaling up is to GDP per capita itself, rather than only to per capita consumption from the NAS.

In addition, in economies with substantial subsistence agriculture and other forms of production for own consumption, it is not clear that the national accounts system provides a more accurate portrayal of real consumption than the surveys, which typically include information on consumption from own production at the household level. Finally, it is unlikely that income underreporting or selective compliance in surveys is distribution-neutral. 10 If richer households underreport more than middle-income or poorer households, then the uniform re-scaling that is proposed would result in an unwarranted under-estimation of poverty. It appears likely that richer households are also less likely to participate in surveys. This has theoretically ambiguous implications for inequality, although there is evidence (for the USA) that it entails a non-negligible under-estimation of overall inequality (Korinek et al ., 2006 ). In what follows we do not use National Accounts information to re-scale mean incomes or consumption from the surveys (although NAS data are used in the interpolation method of Chen and Ravallion, 2004a , which is used for ‘lining up’ household surveys with the reference years used in Tables 24.2 and 24.3 ).

In this chapter, we report poverty measures with respect to the World Bank's ‘standard’ international poverty line of about $1 a day (or, more precisely, $32.74 per month, at 1993 international PPP exchange rates). 11 This is a deliberately conservative definition of ‘poverty’, being anchored to the poverty lines typical of low-income countries. It is also one that has acquired considerable currency in international policy discussions: The first Millennium Development Goal (MDG1), for example, is to halve the 1990 ‘$1 a day’ poverty rate by 2015. To gauge sensitivity, we also use a line set at twice this value, $65.48 per person per month. Following common practice we refer to these as the ‘$1 a day’ and ‘$2 a day’ lines ($1.08 and $2.15 would be more precise). The higher line is more representative of what ‘poverty’ means in middle-income developing countries.

These international lines are converted to local currencies using the Bank's 1993 PPP exchange rates for consumption, and each country's consumer price index (CPI). PPP exchange rates adjust for the fact that non-traded goods tend to be cheaper in poorer countries. There is more than one way to calculate PPP exchange rates. The Geary-Khamis (GK) method used by the Penn World Tables (PWT) uses quantity weights to compute the international price indices. For our purposes, this method gives too high a weight to consumption patterns in richer countries when measuring poverty globally. The Elteto-Kones-Sculc (EKS) method—a multilateral extension of the usual bilateral Fisher index—attempts to correct for this bias. Since 2000, the World Bank's global poverty and inequality measures have been based on the Bank's PPP rates, which use the EKS method. 12 At the time of writing, new PPP rates, based on 2005 prices, are about to become available. While existing poverty and inequality measures have not yet been revised accordingly, we comment later on some of the likely implications.

Once the international poverty lines have been appropriately converted into local currency, and local CPI has been used to inflate the line to the nominal currency of the survey year, poverty measures are calculated for each survey year. Naturally, different countries do not all field their household surveys (which are rarely annual) in the same year. In Table 24.1 , we report the year(s) in which the latest surveys available to us were conducted in each country, and report poverty measures for those years. In Tables 24.2 and 24.3 , where we seek to describe regional and global poverty aggregates, the poverty measures are lined up in time for each of a set of ‘reference years’ using the interpolation method described in Chen and Ravallion (2004a) .

We will focus on the most common poverty measure, namely the headcount index ( H ), which gives the proportion of the country's population that lives in households with per capita incomes below the poverty line. Other measures are the poverty gap index ( PG ), which gives the average shortfall of income from that line, where the average is taken over the entire population (with the gap set to zero for incomes higher than the poverty line); the squared poverty gap index (Foster et al ., 1984 ); and the Watts (1968) index. The latter two measures penalize inequalityamongst the poor, and so are better at picking up differences in the severity of poverty. PovcalNet provides all these measures. In some of the discussion, we also multiply H by the country's population, to yield the absolute number of poor people.

Table 24.1 presents the two inequality measures (Gini and MLD) and H for the two poverty lines for every country for which we have household-survey data. 13 Wherever possible, we present results for two periods: (i) the 1990s (centered on 1994), and (ii) the 2000s (centered on 2004). Since most surveys have less-than-annual frequency and since countries field their surveys on different schedules, for each country we use the survey nearest to the two period centers, and indicate the year in the table.

The range of inequality measures across the 130 countries in Table 24.1 is very large indeed. The Gini index ranges from 0.20 in the Slovak Republic, to 0.74 in Namibia. The MLD ranges from 0.12 in Hungary to 0.71 in Bolivia using data for the 2000s; using data for the 1990s, the range is from 0.07 in the Slovak Republic to 1.13 in Namibia. In terms of country groupings, the high-income economies (including the OECD) and Eastern Europe and Central Asia (ECA) record the lowest inequality measures, and Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) have the highest. The predominance of measures using income, rather than consumption, in LAC is a contributing factor to the high-inequality measures for that region. The high level of inequality in SSA thus deserves special mention, as many of the indices refer to distributions of consumption expenditures. The commonly held view that LAC is unambiguously the most unequal region in the world needs to be qualified accordingly.

Income levels and inequality around the world

Income levels and inequality around the world

Figure 24.1 plots inequality (measured by the latest available Gini coefficient) against GDP per capita for each country listed in Table 24.1. The figure reveals a negative correlation between inequality and mean incomes (measured by GDP per capita). The correlation coefficient is -0.44 (statistically significant at the 1% level). In addition, the variance of inequality is higher among poorer countries, but much smaller among richer ones. Above $20,000 per capita per annum, all Gini indices lie in the relatively narrow interval of (0.25, 0.45). The implication is that no country has successfully developed beyond middle-income status while retaining a very high level of inequality in income or consumption. High inequality (a Gini above 0.5, say) is a feature of underdevelopment. We do not explore the difficult issue of causality here: is it that high-inequality prevents growth, or is it that growth tends to reduce inequality? These issues are the subject of a large literature, which is summarized in Chapter 22 We simply note the significant negative correlation in levels, and that very high levels of inequality are not observed among rich countries in the present-day cross-section.

In terms of changes over time, there is no universal or common trend in inequality between the 1990s and 2000s. Out of the 49 countries in Table 24.1 that have inequality measures for both periods, 30 (29) record an increase in the Gini (MLD 14 ) index, 13 (16) record declines, and in 6 (3) countries there has been little or no change, which we (somewhat arbitrarily) define as being in the range (−2.5%, 2.5%). These numbers are consistent with the evidence of rising within-country inequality discussed in Chapter 23 , but we caution against over-interpreting results in a selected sample of some 50 countries for which data were available on both periods.

Income levels and poverty around the world

Income levels and poverty around the world

The situation is somewhat different with regard to poverty: there is even greater variation in levels, the correlation with mean incomes is more pronounced, and there is a clearer pattern in the recent changes. Two important facts can be gleaned from Figure 24.2 , which plots H (for the $1-a-day threshold) against GDP per capita. The first is that absolute poverty incidence decreases markedly with mean income, as one would expect. The simple correlation coefficient is −0.57 and statistically significant at the 1% level. Above a GNP per capita of approximately $15,000 p.a., this extreme kind of absolute poverty essentially vanishes. 15 In fact, dollar-a-day poverty is not even estimated for the high-income countries listed in Table 24.1 , and they are not included in Figure 24.2. The second fact is that this relationship between mean income and poverty is not statistically ‘tight’. The points in Figure 24.2 do not lie neatly along a specific curve or line. Below a per capita GDP of around $12,000, there is considerable variation in the incidence of extreme poverty for each level of mean income. In fact, at around $2,000, one can find countries with the same per capita income levels reporting poverty rates in a range from zero to 65%. Latent country-level heterogeneity may well be confounding the ability to detect the true relationship; we will return to this point. However, as we will see in the next section, this heterogeneity in poverty levels conditional on mean incomes has a lot to do with between-country differences in the level of inequality.

To look at poverty trends over time, we resort to a longer time series than the one presented in Table 24.1 Chen and Ravallion 2007 compile poverty time-series indicators for 560 surveys from 100 countries (essentially the same sample of countries used by PovcalNet ). Since poverty incidence at the $1-a-day threshold is effectively zero in high-income economies (which accounts for the main differences between the PovcalNet data set and that presented in Table 24.1 ) we restrict our attention to the Chen-Ravallion sample of countries.

Tables 24.2 and 24.3 present the world and regional average poverty levels, both as incidence ( H ) and in absolute numbers of the poor for selected reference years spanning 1981–2004. Table 24.2 uses the $1-a-day poverty line, while Table 24.3 uses the $2-a-day line. There is clear evidence of a decline in absolute poverty in the developing world over the last quarter-century. The incidence of $1-a-day poverty, as a proportion of the developing world's population, fell from 40% in 1981 to 18% in 2004. By 2004, the developing world as a whole was only four percentage points short of attaining MDG1 (a poverty rate of 14.3% by 2015). The corresponding proportions for the total population of the world are 34% and 15%, assuming that nobody lives below $1 a day in the high-income countries. Although the rapid reduction of poverty in China (from 63% to 10%) accounts for much of this global decline, there has clearly been progress elsewhere too: global poverty incidence excluding China falls from 31% to 21% over 1981–2004.

The rates of poverty reduction have been quite disparate in different countries. If one partitions the country sample into the broad regions defined by the World Bank, we see clear heterogeneity in poverty reduction across regions (Table 24.2 ). The most pronounced decline was registered in East Asia (from 58% to 9%). South Asia came second, with a fall from 50% to 31%. At the other end of the spectrum, poverty incidence actually rose in ECA during the period of transition from socialism to market economies, though showing encouraging signs of progress since the late 1990s. In Sub-Saharan Africa, poverty was essentially the same in 2004 and 1981, having first grown during the 1980s, and then declined slowly since the late 1990s. Such a small decline in poverty rates, combined with a growing population, translates into a rise in the absolute number of people living in households below the $1-a-day poverty line, as can be seen from panel (b) in Table 24.2 . In fact, the number of poor people rose not only in Africa and Eastern Europe and Central Asia, but also in Latin America, where economic stagnation and persistent inequality in the last decades prevented substantial progress against poverty. These regional trends in poverty reduction are summarized in Figure 24.3 , which is also taken from Chen and Ravallion 2007 . The dominant role of poverty reduction in East Asia is immediately apparent.

Trends in the incidence of absolute poverty in less developed countries, by region

Trends in the incidence of absolute poverty in less developed countries, by region

Note : For region identifiers see Table 24.2.

Trends are somewhat more muted for the $2-a-day poverty line. Global incidence in the developing world fell from 67% to 48% (59% to 52% if China is excluded). Poverty also fell markedly in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), and South Asia, but doubled in ECA. Because of population growth, the absolute number of poor people (under $2-a-day) rose in every region other than East Asia. Given a very substantial decline in East Asia, the world total grew only slightly, from 2.45 billion to 2.55 billion. This is in contrast to a decline in the absolute number of poor (under $1-a-day), from 1.47 billion to 0.97 billion in the same period. See Tables 24.2 and 24.3 . 16

The 1993 PPP exchange rates on which these calculations were based are known to have a number of problems. In particular, the two most populous countries, China and India, did not participate in the 1993 price surveys, so their PPPs are subject to larger margins of error. This will be corrected in the 2005 PPPs, in which both countries participated. The preliminary release of the new estimates at the time of writing indicates higher price levels in both China and India than implied by the 1993 PPPs, so the poverty rates in these two countries will rise relative to the rest of the developing world. Aggregate poverty counts will then rise, although the rates of aggregate progress over time will actually be higher than implied by Tables 24.2 and 24.3 , given that India and (especially) China had high rates of poverty reduction over time. (Note that, while the new PPPs change the level comparisons, the real growth rates in a given country are unaffected.)

2. Global Inequality

If constructing internationally comparable poverty measures is harder than computing comparable inequality measures (because the latter are scale-, and thus exchange-rate-invariant), aggregation into a single global measure is more difficult for inequality than for poverty. Standard poverty measures are immediately decomposable by population subgroups and, therefore, easy to aggregate up from subgroups. The numbers of poor can simply be added across countries, while poverty incidences and poverty gaps are first weighted by the country's population share and then summed. This simple procedure underlies the global poverty incidence and the global absolute numbers of the poor that are reported in the previous section.

The analogous procedure for inequality indices is more involved for two reasons. First, it has to contend with the fact that global inequality is not merely an aggregation of within-country inequalities. It also contains a component that corresponds to inequality between countries. Second, once the world is treated as a single entity, with a well-defined distribution of living standards, then the scale in which each individual national distribution is expressed matters again. While PPP exchange rate calculations are not needed if one simply wants to compare national levels of inequality, they are crucial for the construction of a global inequality index.

By ‘global inequality’ we shall mean inequality amongst all people of the world, ignoring where they live. This is calculated by combining the surveys from all the different countries (at the appropriate PPP exchange rates) into a single world distribution of income, and then computing inequality indices for this distribution. As long as the inequality index is additively decomposable (such as MLD), it will be possible to separate this overall measure into a component corresponding to inequality between countries, and one that aggregates the inequality within all the different countries. Only recently have household surveys been available for a sufficient number of countries for this approach to be feasible. Since then, this approach has become dominant among researchers interested in global interpersonal inequality—for the simple reason that it does not ignore inequality within countries.

The earlier literature contains two (simpler) approaches to measuring overall inequality in the world. The first takes each country as the relevant unit of observation, and computes inequality between these ‘country means’. This is what Milanovic 2005 calls Concept 1 inequality, and what World Bank (2005) calls inter-country inequality. Second, it is possible to take account of different population sizes by weighting each country mean by its share of world population—giving Milanovic's Concept 2 inequality, or what World Bank (2005) calls international inequality. Both of these approaches are unsatisfactory since they ignore inequality within countries, and capture only the between-country differences.

In the last few years, a number of studies have sought to quantify global inequality, and to investigate its dynamics. One of the most ambitious was a paper by Bourguignon and Morrisson 2002 , who constructed a time series of world inequality estimates for the period from 1820 to 1992. For all but the last 10 to 20 years of that series, disaggregated household survey data are not available for many countries. The authors thus grouped countries into 33 ‘blocs’, the composition of which changed over time, depending on data availability (see Bourguignon and Morrisson, 2002 , for details). The distributions are constructed in such a manner that all the members of a ‘bloc’ are assumed to have the same distribution as a country for which data are actually available in the relevant time period. The authors construct a distribution based on decile (and some ventile) shares, and on GDP per capita figures. Individuals are assumed to have the same incomes within 10ths (or 20ths) of the distribution, where that income corresponds to the group's share of GDP per capita. This set of strong assumptions allowed the authors to construct a long time series covering most of the 19th and 20th centuries. 17

The main finding of the study is that world inequality rose almost continuously from the onset of the industrial revolution until the First World War. During that period, the world's Gini index rose from 0.50 to 0.61. Although inequality was also rising within most countries for which data were available, the real driving force for this increase in global disparity was inequality between countries, that is, international inequality (see Figure 24.4 ).

Global inequality and its components, 1820–1992

Global inequality and its components, 1820–1992

Between the two world wars, and until around 1950, a decline in within-country inequality was observed, but the rise in inequality across countries continued apace and proved to be the dominant force. 18 The world Gini index rose further to 0.64. From the middle of the 20th century onwards, the rise of global inequality slowed, as Japan and parts of East Asia started growing faster than Europe and North America. This process became particularly pronounced after the take-off of China in the 1980s. Broadly speaking, global inequality changes in the second half of the last century are much less significant than in the 130 years that preceded it: there was certainly a reduction in the rate of growth of inequality and, towards the end of the period, the level actually started to decline.

When considering the last decades of the 20th century, however, better and more comprehensive data are available, enabling researchers to work with approximations to the world income distribution based on (and only on) fully disaggregated household surveys. Looking at the second half of the century with these new data, three interesting regularities emerge. First, even as (unweighted) inter-country inequality continued to grow between 1950 and 2000, international inequality (when population-weighted) began to fall. The disparate behavior in these two inequality concepts has been one of the reasons behind the discordant discourse on globalization and inequality. The continuing rise in inter-country inequality (to which Pritchett, 1997 , refers as ‘divergence, big time’) was due largely to slow growth in most poor (and small) countries, relative to some middle-income and richer countries. The decline in international inequality, which refers to a population-weighted distribution, was due fundamentally to rapid growth in two large nations that started out very poor: China and, to a lesser extent, India. As Figure 24.5 suggests, once China and India are excluded from the international distribution, the post-1980 trend in that inequality concept changes dramatically, and becomes much closer to the rising trend in inter-country inequality.

Inter-country inequality and international inequality, 1950–2000

Inter-country inequality and international inequality, 1950–2000

The second regularity is that the last two decades in the 20th century saw resumption in the upward trajectory of aggregate within-country inequality, defined as the contribution of within-country inequality to total inequality. The rise in within-country inequality prevented the decline in international inequality (which began, slowly, around the 1960s) from translating immediately into a decline in global inequality. Recall that global inequality is the sum of (appropriately aggregated) within-country inequality and international inequality. Indeed, Milanovic ( 2005   2002 ) finds that global income inequality between people was still rising between 1988 and 1993, but appears to have fallen between 1993 and 1998. This is confirmed by World Bank (2005) , which extends Milanovic's data set by a couple of years, and is consistent with the findings reported in Chapter 23 .

The third regularity is that there are signs of inequality convergence over time, whereby inequality has a tendency to rise in low-inequality countries, and fall in high-inequality ones. This was first noticed by Bénabou (1996) , although his tests did not deal with the concern that the signs of convergence may stem solely from measurement error. Subsequent tests by Ravallion 2003 indicate that convergence is still evident when one uses better data and an econometric method that allows for classical measurement errors in the inequality data.

Bénabou interprets inequality convergence as an implication of a neoclassical growth model. Ravallion points instead to an explanation in terms of the policy and institutional convergence that has occurred in the world since about 1990. Low-inequality socialist economies have become more market-oriented, which has increased inequality. On the other hand, non-socialist economies have adopted market-friendly reforms. In some of these economies pre-reform controls benefited the rich, keeping inequality high (Brazil is an example), while in others the controls had the opposite effect, keeping inequality low (India is an example). Thus liberalizing economic policy reforms can entail sizeable redistribution between the poor and the rich, but in opposite directions in the two groups of countries. However, as Ravallion also notes, the process of convergence toward medium inequality implied by his finding is not particularly rapid, and it should not be forgotten that there are deviations from these trends, both over time and across countries.

The foregoing discussion has been about relative inequality. What about the competing concept of absolute inequality, which depends on the absolute gaps in levels of living between the ‘rich’ and the ‘poor’? 19 As Figure 24.6 shows, the two concepts give rise to completely different trends for international inequality: whereas relative inequality measures (such as the Gini and the MLD) fall from around 1980 onwards, absolute measures record substantial increases. 20 This figure is drawn for (population-weighted) international inequality, but the difference is as important when considering global inequality.

Although this chapter (and the broader debate) has focused on income inequality and poverty trends, there should be no presumption that it is the only inequality that matters. Indeed, from some perspectives, international disparities in health status and educational achievement may matter inherently just as much (in addition to being instrumentally important in shaping income inequality and poverty). Since around 1930 there has been convergence in the inter-country and international distributions of life expectancy at birth (LEB). As (weighted) mean world LEB rose from 53.4 years in 1960 to 64.8 years in 2000, its distribution moved from bimodality to unimodality and the coefficient of variation fell from 0.233 to 0.194 (World Bank, 2005 ). This heartening trend was partly reversed, however, during the 1990s, when LEB fell precipitously in some of the world's poorest countries, due largely to the spread of HIV/AIDS. 21

Absolute and relative inequality in the world, 1970–2000

Absolute and relative inequality in the world, 1970–2000

Educational inequality, measured for the distribution of years of schooling, has also fallen substantially over the last four decades or so. As mean years of schooling in the world rose from 3.4 in 1960 to 6.3 in 2000, the coefficient of variation fell from 0.739 to 0.461. (Note that inequality measures for variables like life expectancy or years of education have to be interpreted with care, as both variables are effectively bounded from above.) This pattern of rising means and falling inequality in attainment was common to all regions of the world and, in addition, all regions also saw a reduction in gender disparities, as measured by the male to female schooling ratio (World Bank, 2005 ). 22

Unfortunately, this reduction in attainment inequality has not always meant a reduction in the disparities in true educational achievement . Indeed, internationally comparable test score data suggest that these disparities remain strikingly large with, for example, the reading competence of the average Indonesian student in 2001 being equivalent to that of a student in the 7th percentile of the French distribution.

These changes in the distribution of health and education should be taken into account when assessing global inequality in a broad sense. While this chapter provides only a very brief summary of the existing evidence along each dimension, a number of scholars have attempted to explore the correlations among the different dimensions. Because increases in longevity have been greater in poorer countries, for instance, Becker et al . (2005) argue that inequality in measures of well-being that account for the quantity, as well as quality, of life have been declining throughout the post-war period.

3. The Growth-Poverty-Inequality Triangle

Given the negative correlation between mean incomes and inequality levels across countries that is illustrated in Figure 24.1 , it is not surprising that there is an even stronger correlation between mean incomes and poverty rates. Given the mathematical relationship that must always hold between mean income, poverty, and inequality, the first correlation more or less automatically implies the second. To see why, we can assume (without loss of generality) that the shape of the Lorenz curve can be fully captured by a vector of (functional form) parameters π, such that L ( p, π ) is the share of consumption (or income) held by the poorest p proportionof the population, ranked by household consumption per person. It is well known that the slope of the Lorenz curve L ( p, π ) with respect to p (denoted L p ( p, π )) is simply the ratio of the quantile function ( y ( p )) to the mean μ. 23 By evaluating that derivative at p = H , we can write the following equation for the headcount index of poverty, given a poverty line z :

graphic

Equation (1) is an identity that relates the incidence of poverty at any given (real) poverty line to two aspects of the distribution: the mean μ and inequality or, more precisely, the Lorenz curve. From (1) it can be seen that the partial derivative of poverty with respect to the mean (holding the Lorenz curve parameters fixed) is always negative so that, if the poverty line is fixed and inequality is constant, poverty must fall as the mean rises. 24 In the scatter-plot of Figure 24.2 , the poverty line is the same across all countries. If Lorenz curves did not differ systematically with GDP per capita, poverty should be lower as GDP rises. This association is only strengthened by the negative correlation between GDP and inequality levels in the cross-section: higher income levels are associated with lower poverty both because of the direct effect of a higher mean at a given Lorenz curve, and because there exists an inverse empirical relationship between income levels and inequality. 25

But the cross-country correlation between mean incomes and inequality need not be informative of the growth process of a particular country, since there may well be country-specific idiosyncrasies that cloud temporal patterns in the cross-section. So, what happens to inequality as a particular country grows over time? The first careful attempt to answer that question, by Simon Kuznets 1955 , has become so influential that it still guides a great deal of thinking on the topic. Building on the Lewis 1954 model of development as a transfer of resources from a low-productivity, low-inequality sector (say, traditional agriculture) to a higher-productivity, higher-inequality sector (say, manufacturing or modern commercial agriculture), Kuznets hypothesized that inequality would rise during an initial phase of the process (as labor begins to move across sectors), and then eventually decline (as most workers are already in the modern sector, and the intersectoral gap loses significance). Kuznets found empirical support for this inverted-U inequality trajectory in the data he had available at the time, for the USA, England, and Germany. Some cross-sectional studies have found evidence consistent with an inverted-U relationship between inequality and mean income, and there is a hint of this relationship in Figure 24.1 . 26

As data on changes in inequality over time have accumulated for many more countries, however, it has become apparent that the inverted-U relationship hypothesized by Kuznets does not hold in general. It does not hold systematically for individual countries for which there are long time series of inequality measures. Bruno et al . (1998) compiled time-series data on inequality measures amongst growing developing countries and found almost no cases that conformed to the prediction of the Kuznets Hypothesis. And its ‘dynamic version’, which postulates a relationship between rates of GDP growth and changes in inequality, does not seem to hold on average either. Using all countries in the PovcalNet data set for which there are more than one survey, Ravallion 2007 plots proportional changes in the income Gini against proportional changes in mean income for 290 observations, representing 80 countries. (This can be thought of as a re-estimation of the relationship in Figure 24.1 in which we restrict the sample to developing countries and allow for the existence of country-level fixed effects, potentially correlated with mean income.) A small negative correlation (r = −0.15) is found in the data, which is insignificant at the 10% level. Among growing economies, inequality tends to rise as often as it falls. 27 Thus we have:

Stylized Fact 1: Economic growth tends to be distribution-neutral on average in developing countries, in that inequality increases about as often as it decreases in growing economies .

Growth in poverty headcount against growth in survey mean consumption or income in less developed countries, 1981–2004

Growth in poverty headcount against growth in survey mean consumption or income in less developed countries, 1981–2004

It is not then surprising that there is a strong correlation between growth rates and changes in absolute poverty. This is evident in Figure 24.7 , which plots the proportionate changes in the poverty rate (using the $1-a-day line) against the growth rates in the survey mean; the correlation coefficient is −0.44 and the regression coefficient is −1.76 with a White standard error of 0.24; n = 290 after trimming likely outliers due to measurement error. Thus we have: 28

Stylized Fact 2: Measures of absolute poverty tend to fall with economic growth in developing countries .

In discussing Figure 24.2 we had noted that, although there is a clear negative correlation between GDP per capita and poverty levels, there is also considerable heterogeneity around the average relationship. Figure 24.7 shows that a similar relationship holds after we take proportional differences: growth in GDP is strongly associated with poverty reduction, but there is considerable variation in the size of the effect. An illustration is provided by Ravallion (2001) , who estimated a regression coefficient on a scatter-plot very much like that in Figure 24.7 . The 95% confidence interval on that coefficient implies that a 2% rate of growth in mean income (which is about the average rate for developing countries in the 1980s and 1990s) will bring anything from a 1% to a 7% annual decline in poverty incidence.

Why are there such large differences across countries (and time periods) in the impact of growth on poverty? Given equation (1), it is unsurprising that the answer has to do with inequality. Interestingly, though, it has to do both with the initial level of inequality (i.e. how unequal a country is before a given growth spell) and with changes in that level (i.e. on the ‘incidence’ of economic growth). Taking the differential of equation (1) yields two terms, 29 one of which accounts for the impact of changes in the mean (i.e. growth), holding the initial distribution constant, while the other captures the change in the distribution (i.e. the Lorenz curve), holding the mean constant:

graphic

The first term is the growth component of poverty reduction, while the second term is the distributional component (the weighted sum of all changes in the distributional parameters). 30 Given the convexity of the Lorenz curve, equation (2) shows that the partial growth elasticity of poverty reduction

graphic

is always negative. This result conforms to intuition: holding the poverty line and the Lorenz curve constant, poverty must fall when the mean rises. But the sign of the second term is ambiguous, since it depends on the marginal change in the Lorenz curve—in other words, it depends on the incidence of economic growth: on how the new income from growth is distributed.

The two ways in which inequality affects the impact of growth on poverty can be seen clearly in equation (2). First, initial inequality reduces the growth component of poverty reduction (in absolute value), because

graphic

tends to be higher in more unequal distributions. This stands to reason: the growth component captures how a given amount of growth would affect poverty if there were no change in the Lorenz curve. In other words: how it would affect poverty if the gains from growth were distributed proportionately to existing household incomes. Clearly, the more unequal the original distribution, the smaller the share of the growth accruing to the poor, and the lower the poverty reduction arising from that given growth; this was first demonstrated empirically by Ravallion (1997b) . 31

Empirical growth elasticities of poverty reduction against initial Gini index: less developed countries in 1981–2004

Empirical growth elasticities of poverty reduction against initial Gini index: less developed countries in 1981–2004

Figure 24.8 , which is also taken from Ravallion 2007 , plots the total growth elasticity of poverty reduction against initial inequality, for a sample of countries during 1981–2005, when poverty is defined by the $1-a-day line. 32 It can be seen that the average empirical (total) elasticity is higher (in absolute value) the lower the initial inequality. The correlation coefficient of 0.26 is statistically significant at the 1% level. Whereas the elasticity averaged −4 for countries with Gini indices in the mid-20s, it was very close to zero for countries with a Gini index of about 0.60. To illustrate the important role played by initial inequality, Ravallion 2007 uses a parsimonious parametric model, based on essentially the same data, to simulate the rate of poverty reduction with a 2% rate of growth and a headcount index of 40%. In a low-inequality country—a Gini index of 0.30 (say)—the headcount index will be halved in 11 years. In a high-inequality country—a Gini index of 0.60 (say)—it will take about 35 years to halve the initial poverty rate. 33

A second mechanism through which inequality affects the impact of growth on poverty is through changes in inequality during the growth process. If the aggregate changes in the Lorenz curve in the second term on the right-hand side of equation (2) are poverty increasing then the effect of growth on poverty will be less than the partial effect, holding distribution constant. Figure 24.8 also suggests that changes in initial inequality have considerable empirical importance, since this (and measurement error) accounts for the spread around the regression line.

We can summarize these observations as:

Stylized Fact 3: The higher the initial level of inequality in a country or the greater the increase in inequality during the growth spell, the higher the rate of growth that is needed to achieve any given (proportionate) rate of poverty reduction .

We can thus sum up the analysis of the empirical inter-relationships between growth, poverty, and inequality as follows. Despite some evidence that this might be changing in the 1990s, the balance of the evidence for the last quarter-century suggests that there is no systematic empirical relationship between economic growth rates and changes in inequality (Stylized Fact 1). Given the relationship that must hold between poverty, inequality, and mean income in levels, Stylized Fact 1 implies that there must be a negative correlation between changes in poverty incidence and economic growth. This is indeed the case empirically: growth is good for the poor (Stylized Fact 2). But the relationship between mean income and poverty is mediated by the Lorenz curve, so that the power of growth to reduce poverty depends on inequality. In fact, that power tends to decline both with the initial level of inequality, and with increases in inequality during the growth process (Stylized Fact 3).

4. Exploring the Economics behind these Stylized Facts

How can we go beyond the mathematical relationship between mean income, poverty, and inequality to gain a deeper understanding of the economic forces behind changes in inequality and poverty, and their relationship with aggregate growth? In this section, we review some of the insights from three branches of the literature that has tried to explore these determinants.

The first branch seeks to exploit spatial variation in the geographic and sectoral patterns of growth and in initial demographic and distributional conditions within countries to shed light on what makes growth more or less ‘pro-poor’, that is, to examine its incidence within a country. Datt and Ravallion 1998 and Ravallion and Datt 2002 for India, Ravallion and Chen 2007 and Montalvo and Ravallion (2008) for China, Ravallion and Lokshin 2007 for Indonesia and Ferreira et al . (2007) for Brazil all follow this approach. In essence, these studies computea panel of poverty rates across states (or provinces) and over time, and regress the changes against sector-specific rates of growth in each spatial unit. Control variables typically include differences in initial conditions across states, including pre-sample differences in land or income inequality, literacy, and the like. There may also be time-varying state-level controls, such as changes in various types of public spending in each state.

These studies require relatively long series of repeated cross-section household surveys, and are easiest to conduct in large countries, where spatially disaggregated subsamples retain statistical representativeness. Looking across the studies carried out so far, a few lessons emerge. First, the sectoral composition of growth does seem to matter for poverty reduction. In all four countries, the growth elasticities of poverty reduction varied substantially and significantly across sectors. But the relative sector ranking varied across countries: agricultural growth was by far the most effective in reducing poverty in China, while growth in the services sector had a higher impact on poverty in Brazil and India. In these three countries, the effect of manufacturing growth on poverty reduction seemed to vary significantly across states, suggesting that diverse geographic, distributional, or institutional conditions can affect the growth elasticity of poverty reduction, even within a single country.

It was generally found that less ‘initial’ (i.e. pre-sample) inequality was associated with a greater effectiveness of growth in reducing poverty (as the previous section would suggest). Greater literacy and better initial health conditions (often measured inversely by infant mortality rates) also help make growth more poverty-reducing. In India, about half of the range in long-term rates of poverty reduction across India's states (between the best performer, Kerala, and the worst one, Bihar) can be attributed to the difference in initial literacy rates (Datt and Ravallion, 1998 ). The elasticity of poverty to non-farm economic growth in India was particularly sensitive to differences in human resource development (Ravallion and Datt, 2002 ). In Brazil, one interesting finding was that a greater level of voice or ‘empowerment’—proxied by the rate of unionization more than 10 years before the sample started—also raised the elasticity of poverty reduction with respect to growth (in manufacturing).

Other policies can also affect the pattern of distributional change (and thus of poverty reduction), even after one controls for differences in the pattern of growth. A repeated finding is that higher rates of inflation result in lower rates of poverty reduction (in Brazil, China, and India). The Brazilian case study revealed two important changes in the policy environment which contributed to greater success against poverty: a dramatic reduction in the country's previously massive rate of inflation (in 1994), and a substantial increase in the amount of social security and social assistance payments, accompanied by some improvements in targeting, during the period 1988–2004.

A second branch of literature is even more micro-oriented, and takes the individual household, rather than a state or province, as the unit of observation. This approach is exemplified by the various chapters in Bourguignon et al . (2005) and can be thought of as a set of statistical decompositions of the growth incidence curve , as given by g (p) = d ln y (p) (where it will be recalled that y (p) is the quantile function). 34   g (p) is the income growth rate at percentile p of the distribution (for example, g (0.5) is the growth rate of the median income). In these studies, a small set of models for key economic relationships—such as earnings regressions, participation equations, or education demand functions—is estimated for both the initial and terminal years of the period under study. Then various counterfactual income distributions can be simulated by importing sets of parameters from either date into the corresponding models for the other date. The spirit of the exercise follows that of Oaxaca 1973 and Blinder 1973 and the results, like the original Blinder—Oaxaca decomposition, are best interpreted as a statistical decomposition of changes in the distribution, rather than as measures of causal effects.

Nevertheless, some of the empirical regularities arising from the studies of Latin America and East Asia in Bourguignon et al . (2005) are quite interesting. First, the increase in the returns to schooling that accompanied rapid growth in countries like Taiwan (China) or Indonesia tended to contribute to increases in inequality. This effect was also present in countries that grew less rapidly, like Mexico, and is reminiscent of the so-called ‘Tinbergen Race’ between increases in the demand for schooling (arising from technological progress) and the rising supply of skilled workers (brought about by expansions in the educational system). In most countries in the sample, the demand side dominated, leading to increased earnings inequality; the only exceptions were Brazil and Colombia.

Greater earnings inequality often led to higher inequality in household incomes, but not always. An interesting example is provided by Taiwan, where a marked increase in labor force participation by women led to a divergence between the earnings and income distributions. While the entry of relatively skilled women into the labor force reduced earnings inequality (as they entered roughly in the middle of the distribution), it contributed to an increase in the dispersion of household incomes: most of these new workers were married to skilled men, and lived in households that were already relatively well-off. The importance of changes in labor force participation and occupational structure is not an isolated characteristic of the Taiwanese experience. In Brazil, too, between 1976 and 1996, a substantial increase in extreme poverty was associated primarily with an increase in unemployment, informality, and underemployment. In Indonesia, a large share of the overall increase in inequality was associated with large movements of labor away from wage employment (in agriculture) towards (predominantly urban) self-employment.

This approach also illustrates the ambiguous effect of rising levels of education on inequality. In Colombia, Indonesia, and Mexico, substantial increases in the average level of schooling of the population did not lead to lower inequality. On the contrary, when one controls for the changes in returns, it seemed to be associated with higher inequality levels. This result was due to two effects: increases in the education stock that raised inequality in educational attainment itself (i.e. where most of the increase is accounted for by rises among the better-educated), but also the fact that when returns to education are convex, even a distribution-neutral increase in schooling can lead to higher earnings inequality. Of course, educational expansions can offset this effect if they lower returns to schooling, but this is less likely to happen in countries experiencing sharp increases in demand for skills.

By its very nature, this generalized Blinder-Oaxaca approach is, in isolation, incapable of attributing the causal origin of any of these changes to specific exogenous or policy shocks. This is particularly true when broad policy changes, such as a large-scale liberalization of trade, or a permanent change in the exchange rate, are expected to have substantial general equilibrium effects, affecting many variables at the same time. Wide-ranging changes in tariffs, for instance, can affect the distribution of income or consumption through changes in consumer prices, changes in relative wage rates, and changes in employment levels across industries. All of these variables will be changing in the micro-simulations that generate counterfactual growth incidence curves, but which share of the changes is due to the trade liberalization policy is anyone's guess.

To address this point, a third branch of the literature has sought to combine macroeconomic or general equilibrium models with micro-simulations on household survey data. Examples include Bourguignon et al . (2002) for the Indonesian crisis, Chen and Ravallion (2004b) for China's accession to the WTO, and Ferreira et al . (2004) for Brazil's devaluation in 1998–9. These models are still in theirearly, experimental phase, and are subject to the usual criticisms leveled against computable general equilibrium models (CGEs). Nevertheless, when the model is run on a single household survey, and its predictions are checked against a separate, ex-post survey (as in the case of Brazil), its distributional prediction performance is superior to those of the previous generation of representative-agent CGEs. 35

A common finding in these exercises concerns the importance of worker and employment flows across sectors, in response to shocks or policy changes that affect relative prices. Developing country labor markets are often de facto very flexible (despite sometimes significant de jure rigidities), because of the existence of large informal sectors. When relative goods prices change in response to a change in the exchange rate (as in Brazil, in 1998) or policy change (as in China's accession to the WTO), different industries contract and expand in response, and workers move across these sectors.

5. Conclusions

Absolute poverty is clearly a bigger problem in developing countries—where over four-fifths of the world's population lives—than in developed ones. Virtually all of the one billion people subsisting on per capita incomes less than $1 per day live in developing countries. Perhaps more surprisingly, inequality is also a bigger problem in developing countries. Looking at the world as a whole, there is a clear negative correlation between average levels of inequality and the level of development, and all countries with really high income inequality—a Gini index of (say) 0.50 or higher—are developing economies.

However, the evidence from the available cross-section of developing countries suggests that there is little aggregate tendency for these inequality levels to fall with economic growth. Although there are no developed countries today with inequality levels above a Gini index of 0.50, growth rates among developing countries are virtually uncorrelated with changes in inequality levels. This is our first stylized fact.

The absence of a robust cross-country correlation between changes in inequality and growth necessarily implies that there must be a strong negative correlation between growth and changes in poverty. This is confirmed empirically: on average, economies that grow faster reduce absolute poverty much more rapidly—our second stylized fact.

But this does not mean that policymakers in developing countries can ignore inequality. There are a number of reasons why persistently high inequality is a concern. Two primary reasons were not discussed here, namely the fact that higher inequality may be ethically objectionable in its own right, and the possibility that greater inequality may generate certain inefficiencies that could actually reduce the future rate of economic growth. World Bank (2005) contains summary discussions of both points; on the second also see Chapter 22 . In this chapter, we have focused on a third reason why persistent inequality may be undesirable in developing economies: the fact that, even for a given growth rate, inequality tends to reduce the growth elasticity of poverty reduction—our third stylized fact. Other things equal, one percentage point of growth leads to a smaller reduction in poverty in a very unequal country than in a less unequal one. And if inequality rises during the growth process, things are worse yet.

While these three stylized facts can be identified from a macro, cross-country perspective, an understanding of the economic factors behind changes in distribution (or behind the levels and incidence of growth) in developing countries requires a more microeconomic approach which exploits differences in conditions within countries. Changes in income distribution respond to so many different stimuli—in a general equilibrium environment—that no single method has yet been developed to fully identify the causes of all observed changes. Instead, researchers have relied on a variety of different approaches. Sub-national regression analysis (using geographical panel data) sheds light on the relative importance of sectoral growth patterns, and of initial differences in the distribution of land or human capital. Micro-simulation-based decompositions of growth incidence curves can help us understand the relative roles of changes in household endowments; changes in returns to those endowments; and changes in participation and occupational choices. Finally, combining such micro-simulations with models capable of capturing the general equilibrium transmission of initial shocks can help us understand the distributional impact of broad, economy-wide policy changes.

As we move forward, more research is needed on all of these fronts, and in their integration. It is only from such research that we can hope to learn what enables some countries (such as Vietnam) to grow rapidly with little or no rise in inequality, and thus to enjoy dramatic rates of poverty reduction. The diversity of country experience has established that equitable growth is possible, and that it is particularly pro-poor. But much remains to be learned about both the general economic conditions and the policy context within which it is achievable.

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We are grateful to the editors (Brian Nolan, Wiemer Salverda, and Tim Smeeding) and to Branko Milanovic, Berk Ozler, and participants in a symposium at the Russell-Sage Foundation in New York City for helpful comments on an earlier version. Thanks are also due to François Bourguignon, Shaohua Chen, and Branko Milanovic for kindly allowing us to draw on earlier work that we (either one or both of us) co-authored with them in the past, as well as to Phillippe Leite and Prem Sangraula for able assistance and very useful suggestions. However, we alone are responsible for any errors. Furthermore, the opinions expressed in this chapter are those of the authors, and should not be attributed to the World Bank, its Executive Directors, or the countries they represent.

See 〈 http://iResearch.worldbank.org/PovcalNet/jsp/index.jsp 〉.

The Human Development Index (HDI) is a well-known example of how one can construct an aggregate index that combines income and certain ‘non-income’ dimensions of welfare. The HDI does not directly reflect inequality within countries and also imposes some questionable aggregation conditions (including trade-offs); for further discussion see Ravallion (1997a) . Grimm et al. (2006) provide an ambitious attempt to differentiate the HDI by income groups.

It is sometimes claimed that this argument carries less weight in developed countries, but for a counter-argument see Slesnick 1998 .

There tend to be more people dissaving than saving at the bottom of the income distribution, and more people saving than dissaving at the top.

See Lanjouw and Ravallion 1995 .

See Coulter et al . (1992) and Chapter 3 of this Handbook.

Absolute inequality measures, which may well be relevant for the discussion of global trends, are scale-sensitive. We return to absolute measures of inequality in Section 2 below.

See e.g. Sala-i-Martin 2006 .

See e.g. Banerjee and Piketty 2005 and Korinek et al . (2006) .

See Chen and Ravallion 2001 for a detailed description of how this line was constructed.

For further discussion of the difference between these two methods and the bearing on poverty measurement see Ackland et al . (2006) .

An extended version of Table 24.1 is available from the authors giving PG for both poverty lines.

Forty-nine countries report Gini coefficients in both periods. Forty-eight report MLDs in both periods.

Which may explain why researchers looking at developed countries tend to be more concerned with inequality than with poverty and, even when addressing the latter, usually rely on alternative concepts of poverty, such as relative poverty, social exclusion (see Chapter 13 ), or ‘low pay’ (see Chapter 11 ).

For a more detailed discussion, including their recent estimates when accounting for cost-of-living differences between rural and urban areas, see Chen and Ravallion 2007 .

Given the long-run perspective of this exercise, however, it is likely that some of the problems associated with using means from the National Accounts had only limited importance. In particular, the estimated evolution of GDP per capita over such a long period is likely to be very strongly correlated with any measure of household welfare.

The increase in inter-country inequality between 1914 and 1950 took place during each of the two world wars, and most markedly during the Second World War. The inter-war period properly defined (1919–39) actually saw a reduction in inter-country inequality. On the association between wars and rising international inequality, and between crises and its decline, both during this period and in 1890–5, see Milanovic 2006 .

For further discussion of the role played by the concept of absolute inequality in debates about the distributional impacts of economic growth and trade openness see Ravallion 2004 .

Although we include only two relative and one absolute measure, the opposing trends between relative and absolute measures over this period are robust to the choice of index. See Atkinson and Brandolini 2004 .

See Deaton 2003 on the relationship between health outcomes and inequality more broadly.

See also Castello and Domenech 2002 on international inequality in education.

The quantile function is the inverse of the cumulative distribution function, p = F (y) .

This is a general result because the Lorenz curve is always (by construction) an increasing and convex function of the percentiles of the income distribution.

It is interesting to note that the negative correlation between GDP and inequality levels is much weaker if the sample is restricted to developing countries only.

Following the most common specification in the literature on testing the Kuznets Hypothesis, we regressed the Gini index on a quadratic function of log GDP per capita using the data in Figure 24.1. The coefficient on log GDP was positive and that on its squared value was negative, and both coefficients were significant at the 1% level. The turning point was within the range of the data.

Among economies experiencing contractions during the spells used by Ravallion 2007 , inequality increases are somewhat more frequent than inequality reductions.

This second stylized fact was noted by Ravallion 1995 , Ravallion and Chen 1997 , Fields 2001 , Dollar and Kraay 2002 amongst others.

This is true if we hold the poverty line constant in real terms. If that is allowed to change over time (giving a relative poverty measure), there will be a third term for the change in the poverty line.

For further discussion of this decomposition see Datt and Ravallion 1992 and Kakwani 1993 .

For an update see Ravallion 2007 .

Period elasticities are smoothed by taking the simple average over two contiguous spells, and 15 extreme elasticities (lower than −20 or above +20) are excluded.

The opposite also holds: high inequality protects the poor from the adverse impact of aggregate economic contraction. For example, high-inequality districts of Indonesia experienced less dramatic rates of increase in poverty during the 1998 financial crisis than did low-inequality districts (Ravallion and Lokshin, 2007 ).

On the properties of the growth incidence curve see Ravallion and Chen 2003 . When making distributional comparisons over time, the growth incidence curve can be calculated from any two cross-sectional surveys (which do not need to be panel surveys, given the usual anonymity assumption). Alternatively, one of the two quantile functions can be a counterfactual distribution. It can also be shown that the changes in most commonly used poverty and inequality measures can also be written as functionals of the corresponding growth incidence curve, usually with weights that can be interpreted as the sensitivity of the particular measure to changes in the distribution at each percentile. This is particularly simple for the Watts index of poverty; it can be readily shown that the change in this index is given by the area under the growth incidence curve up to the headcount index of poverty (Ravallion and Chen, 2003 ).

An intermediate approach seeks to identify the causal effects of policy changes econometrically, and then estimate their share within the different components of a micro-simulation-based decomposition. Ferreira et al . (2007) regress changes in wages and employment levels disaggregated by sectors on (arguably exogenous) changes in tariffs and exchange rates. These trade-mandated changes are then used to generate counterfactual growth incidence curves which can be interpreted alongside other micro-simulation results.

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Poverty and Inequality in the World, Essay Example

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Poverty and inequality are two matters at all times influencing one another. Undoubtedly, where there is poverty there is also inequality happening on a social level.  These two terms, applied when discussing society in its entirety, are utilized to describe how inequality on an economical level affects social statuses, making room for let us say lucky groups, the ones able to afford almost anything and the unlucky, those who can barely make it from one day to another. Thereof, these two terms describe the cause and effect of the economic system, however complex it might be.

The main actors included in this process are, actually, the people living in the society and, also, the system at work in the society, by means of which people can or cannot get advantage insofar as to make their lives better. The actors included in the inequality process are, therefore, people on the one hand and, on the other hand, the economic system active in a particular society. This is exactly why the matter could not be discussed generally, but applied to each country in part.

The main focus of each scholar is that of identifying the most efficient strategies by means of each poverty to be avoided and inequality disposed of. However, given the complexity of the problem and the variety of variables which influence it, my standpoint is that no general strategy can be found, no strategy which, if applied anywhere, could solve such a sensitive matter. More precisely, distinct solutions should be sought and applied, afterwards, in each country in part.  I do not ignore the fact that relevant insights could be derived from one country which could aid solve the problem in another country, but that is not, under no circumstance, enough. In other words, global citizenship philosophy should be understood as the point of departure for the struggle of highlighting the efficient solutions towards eliminating inequality in societies.

Thereof, the main question I wish to bring to debate is that of identifying whether it would be more relevant that a united team of researchers would study a corpus of distinct societies in order to put together a strategy which would help eliminate inequality or that the same team of researchers would study the same country and its society, irrespective of the other insights derived from distinct societies, with the same scope. This question parts from the discussions in ”Globalization. A very short introduction”, by Manferd B. Steger. This made me realize that such a scope implies a numerous of variables to be taken into consideration and, however, contextualization, especially at a time in which globalization is rapidly escalating.

Probably, the most important aspect of such a research consists of the capabilities of the specialists of identifying the exact characteristics of each society in part which would affect, in any way, the rise of inequality. The presupposition stands clear. Each society has characteristics that influence the economic process, some of which are the great historical moments it went through, the collective mentality, the political system, the social intake of the differences between people, from the ways in which one can go from one social status to another until the way in which women are being viewed in comparison to men. Thereof, the question I propose stands relevant from the point of view that the strategy which, for example, would be applicable in a society in which women are expected to be paid far less than men occupying the very same positions would not be efficient in a society in which women are already highly emancipated and are not expected to be stay-at-home mothers for a long period of time.

Steger, B. “Manfred. Globalization: A Very Short Introduction.”

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Home — Essay Samples — Economics — Economic Inequality — Poverty and Economic Inequality

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Poverty and Economic Inequality

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Definition and causes of poverty, economic inequality and its effects, government policies and interventions, global perspectives on poverty and economic inequality, solutions to poverty and economic inequality.

  • World Bank. (2021). Poverty Overview. https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/poverty/overview

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The Relationship between Income Inequality, Poverty and Globalization

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  • Almas Heshmati  

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Globalization 1 has become the way to describe changes in international economy and in world politics. Economists define it as the free movement of goods, services, labour and capital across borders. Globalization is the result of reduced transportation and communication costs, lower trade barriers, faster communication, rising capital flows, increased competition, standardization and migration, to mention a few key causal factors. The process has brought the developed economies closer together and made them more strongly interrelated. In the new era of growing integration of economies and societies, individuals and corporations reach around the world further, faster and more economically than before. This subjects states and individuals to more intense developed market forces by causing rapid changes in trade relations, financial flows and the mobility of labour across the world. However, there is a large heterogeneity in the degree of the process of globalization over time and across countries and regions, as well as within countries across cohorts and skill groups. This heterogeneity causes disparity in development, especially with regard to negative effects such as rising inequality within and between countries, and points to the need to find the sources of disparity and to quantify its magnitude and impacts on the living conditions of the world population.

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Heshmati, A. (2007). The Relationship between Income Inequality, Poverty and Globalization. In: Nissanke, M., Thorbecke, E. (eds) The Impact of Globalization on the World’s Poor. Studies in Development Economics and Policy. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230625501_3

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    Summary. — The paper studies the relation between globalization, inequality, and marginalization, within and across countries. It reviews the existing evidence on globalization and global inequality and argues, using a simple theoretical model, that the two are inter-connected. It discusses alterna-tive policies to counter extreme poverty and ...

  11. Links Between Growth, Inequality, and Poverty: A Survey1

    Analyzing the dynamics of the extreme poverty rate (PPP $1.90 per day poverty line) in 135 countries from 1974 to 2018, Bergstrom (2020) finds that 90 percent of the variation of poverty rates can be explained by changes in GDP per capita, while much of the rest is accounted for by changes in inequality. 7 At the same time, a 1 percent decline ...

  12. PDF Lin Yang

    analytical conclusions of poverty and inequality research can depend on the concepts and measures chosen, it is worth laying out their underlying rationales. In this paper we discuss the concepts of poverty and inequality in broad terms;t he focal variables of poverty and inequality that have been proposed in the literature, from

  13. Growth, inequality and poverty: a robust relationship?

    The consequences of poverty and inequality for growth have long preoccupied academics and policy-makers. This paper revisits the inequality-growth and poverty-growth links. Using a panel of 158 countries between 1960 and 2010, we find that the correlation of growth with poverty is consistently negative: A 10 p.p. decrease in the headcount poverty rate is associated with a subsequent increase ...

  14. Poverty and Inequality in the World, Essay Example

    Poverty and inequality are two matters at all times influencing one another. Undoubtedly, where there is poverty there is also inequality happening on a social level. These two terms, applied when discussing society in its entirety, are utilized to describe how inequality on an economical level affects social statuses, making room for let us ...

  15. PDF Understanding the relationship between poverty, inequality and growth

    between economic inequality and poverty. The research in this programme includes empirical analysis estimating the statistical relationship within the UK over time and across European and OECD countries at various points in time. This research has identified a positive relationship between income inequality and poverty, using a variety of

  16. Poverty and Economic Inequality: [Essay Example], 618 words

    Poverty and economic inequality are persistent and complex issues that have significant impacts on individuals, communities, and societies. According to the World Bank, over 700 million people worldwide live in extreme poverty, surviving on less than $1.90 a day.

  17. Global Inequality and Global Poverty

    Global inequalities of income and wealth are on the increase, in most respects, while global poverty has been significantly reduced in recent years. However, global income inequality between countries has recently lessened. Improvements are also evident in global health and some aspects of gender inequality. Yet the topic is complex and uncertain.

  18. PDF GENDER EQUALITY AND POVERTY ARE INTRINSICALLY LINKED

    Gender equality, economic inequality and poverty are high on the social and political agenda. Major trends in recent decades include a rise in women's employ-ment rates in large parts of the world,1 perhaps with the exception of South Asia, and declines in absolute poverty rates2 and global income inequality.3 At the

  19. (PDF) How Poverty and income Inequality Affect the Socio-Economic

    Abstract. This research aims to investigate the impact of poverty and income inequality on the socio-economic welfare of citizens. We examine the relationship between poverty and income inequality ...

  20. Poverty, Inequality, and Fertility: The Contribution of Demographic

    where the natural logarithm of the proportion of the population living in poverty ("poverty headcount") in country i at time t is predicted by the logarithm of a country's mean income, and where the income Gini typically serves as the measure of inequality. The equation also includes an interaction term between the last two variables to capture the fact that the poor in high-inequality ...

  21. Gender, poverty, and inequality: a brief

    Gender, poverty, and inequality Conceptualising poverty: state and process Poverty used to be conceptualised in terms of the income needed to achieve a predetermined and physiologically-defined level of survival by members of the 'average' household. This poverty line served to distinguish the poor from the non poor within a population.

  22. Poverty and inequality in South Africa: critical reflections

    This is according to the upper-bound poverty line of R992 per person per month, in 2015 prices (Statistics South Africa, 2017 ). Worryingly, poverty is highest among young people, with 63.7% of children under 17 years and 58.6% of 18-24 year-olds living in poverty, compared to 40.4% of 45-54 year-olds.

  23. PDF The Relationship between Income Inequality, Poverty and ...

    The Relationship between Income Inequality, Poverty and Globalization Almas Heshmati 59 Introduction Globalization1 has become the way to describe changes in international economy and in world politics. Economists define it as the free movement of goods, services, labour and capital across borders. Globalization is the result